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The line is moving


CurseReversed

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the line is moving folks. several gambling sites have the skins at -2 now instead of -3 which means that the money is moving on the skins. This should tell you, regardless of what the mediots say, that the truth is known among the people who really put their money where their mouth is. I only hope it doesnt move too much more because its about the only game i like this week. go skins:cheers:

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Vegas only wants there to be money evenly bet on both sides of the wager. The will keep moving the line down until they get more action on the Giants, then you will see it come back up. If 2 bettors each wajor $110, one on each side of the action...one will win and one will lose. The Sportsbook will pay our only $210 to the winner...and will still have $10 profit. Now, in the even that everyone keeps betting on one side, then the sportsbooks are at risk.

The pointspreads are really just "public perception" lines anyways. If you do X's and O's, the Skins should be favored...but there is still a nation wide perception that the Redskins are playing better then they are and the Giants just came off a last second heroic victory in the minds of the casual better. And as long as Eli keeps playing good, the perception IS, that he will be as good as his brother.

Just two cents from someone who was born and raised in Vegas and understands the process of putting a "betting line" together.

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Vegas only wants there to be money evenly bet on both sides of the wager. The will keep moving the line down until they get more action on the Giants, then you will see it come back up. If 2 bettors each wajor $110, one on each side of the action...one will win and one will lose. The Sportsbook will pay our only $210 to the winner...and will still have $10 profit. Now, in the even that everyone keeps betting on one side, then the sportsbooks are at risk.

The pointspreads are really just "public perception" lines anyways. If you do X's and O's, the Skins should be favored...but there is still a nation wide perception that the Redskins are playing better then they are and the Giants just came off a last second heroic victory in the minds of the casual better. And as long as Eli keeps playing good, the perception IS, that he will be as good as his brother.

Just two cents from someone who was born and raised in Vegas and understands the process of putting a "betting line" together.

thank you for your post, you answered a lot of questions I have always had.

:cheers:

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usually the people who bet enough to change lines do their homework. so it shows what the people who actually have a vested interest in the winner think about who is going to win. Which is a much better indicator, I beleive, then the public perception which just might be as you say. I just think it shows us that what a lot of people on this board have been saying about the matchup favoring us is true.

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Vegas only wants there to be money evenly bet on both sides of the wager. The will keep moving the line down until they get more action on the Giants, then you will see it come back up. If 2 bettors each wajor $110, one on each side of the action...one will win and one will lose. The Sportsbook will pay our only $210 to the winner...and will still have $10 profit. Now, in the even that everyone keeps betting on one side, then the sportsbooks are at risk.

The pointspreads are really just "public perception" lines anyways. If you do X's and O's, the Skins should be favored...but there is still a nation wide perception that the Redskins are playing better then they are and the Giants just came off a last second heroic victory in the minds of the casual better. And as long as Eli keeps playing good, the perception IS, that he will be as good as his brother.

Just two cents from someone who was born and raised in Vegas and understands the process of putting a "betting line" together.

Right on.

Still, the fact that the line opened at -3 and is moving towards the Skins, now at -2, does indeed mean that more money is going on the Skins to win. They need to incent betters to put more on the Giants to get the money even, hence the 1 point swing. Moving one point is no big deal though, a 2-3 point swing would be more substantial.

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