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Everything posted by DJHJR86
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His job should be on the line regardless of who starts if they miss the playoffs. Reading between the tea leaves, he's been wanting to switch back to Wentz for the last few weeks. He has his chance now. If the owner's...I mean Mayhew...I mean Rivera's handpicked guy can't take them over the hump and into the playoffs, at the very least he shouldn't be the one making personnel decisions any longer.
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https://www.outkick.com/carson-wentz-future-looks-more-uncertain-than-ever/ “Carson Wentz is one of the strangest dudes I’ve ever seen at quarterback,” said one personnel man who researched Wentz extensively after the 2019 season when it became obviously Philadelphia was going to trade him. “He’s physically tough. He’ll throw his body around and hang in the pocket,” the personnel man said. “But he melts when he’s challenged and he doesn’t have a tough-guy mentality. He’s not really a leader. I’m really surprised that Frank (Reich) still defends him after all that crap in Indy, like not getting vaccinated and then playing so crappy down the stretch." “Maybe Frank feels sorry for him or it’s because he has known him for so long … Wentz basically looked like he had the yips. He wouldn’t get rid of it when should have and then tried to make big plays when they weren’t there. There’s a time to be a hero and there’s a time to be smart. Wentz doesn’t get that. He’s kind of a brain-dead heaver.”
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Looking over some advanced stats. Average Completed Air Yds: Wentz - 5.4 Heinicke - 6 Average Intended Air Yds: Wentz - 8.1 Heinicke - 8.2 Aggressiveness %: Wentz - 17.2 Heinicke - 15.1 Longest Completed Air Distance: Wentz - 54.5 Heinicke - 53 Air Yds to the Sticks: Wentz - -.9 Heinicke - -.3 Completion %: Wentz - 62.1 Heinicke - 61.8 Expected Completion %: Wentz - 65.8 Heinicke - 61.7 Passer Rtg w/Clean Pocket: Wentz - 84.1 Heinicke - 86.3 Bad Throws %: Wentz - 21.2% Heinicke - 18.5% On Target %: Wentz - 70.8% Heinicke - 70% Drop %: Wentz - 4.9% Heinicke - 2% % Pressure per Dropback: Wentz - 23.3% Heinicke - 27.7% Average Time in Pocket: Wentz - 2.3 seconds Heinicke - 2.4 seconds Pass YAC per Completion: Wentz - 4.9 Heinicke - 5.1
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You said the offense would score more than 19.5 points a game with Wentz. I made it up by quoting you. But lets dig into the numbers. Last year, the Colts had a decent offensive line and Jonathan Taylor at running back. In games where they rushed for over 100 yards and Wentz had less than 25 pass attempts, the team was 4-0. For that 4 game stretch, his numbers were: 43/74 58% Completion 5 TDs 1 INT 544 yards 7.6 average AY/A Heinicke, in his last 17 starts, has had 3 such games with the same scenario, and the team is 3-0. His numbers: 39/63 62% Completion 5 TDs 1 INT 464 yards 8.2 average AY/A The Colts averaged 32.5 points over that 4 game span with Wentz. Washington averaged 22.6 points per game over the 3 game stretch with Heinicke. So why is that if Heinicke's stats are very similar to Wentz when the offense relies on a strong run game and limits the passing? The Colts leading rusher (Taylor) averaged 161 rushing yards, whereas the leading rushers (Gibson/Robinson) averaged 115 with Heinicke. And this is with a better offensive line that the Colts had than the one operating right now in Washington. Conclusion: without a homerun rusher and a patchwork offensive line, Heinicke put up similar numbers to Wentz when the main focus of the offense was to limit throws and pound the rock.
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In the two games where they relied on the run game and rushed for over 100 yards the offense scored 10 points and 12 points. 6 of those 12 points in the Bears game came from a fumble courtesy of the Bears on special teams. And the starting center is out for the year. This mythical thought that Wentz just being re-inserted into the lineup magically making the offense better is baffling to me.