Alcoholic Zebra

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About Alcoholic Zebra

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  • Birthday 06/29/1985

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    Chicago and DC

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  1. Alcoholic Zebra

    2019 Comprehensive Draft Thread

    Agreed on Flacco, I've considered him done as a QB in the league for awhile now. He's not taking any team anywhere. 2012 was clearly an aberration. Jones and Lock aren't worth giving up major draft capital, and I'll also say I don't think either are worth drafting in the 1st round. I like Jones a lot, but I think he's just the next Colt McCoy. Jones is smart, can move around, good at touch throws, but struggles on Out Routes. I don't think Jones has enough zip to be reliable. Saw too many Out Routes in college get broken up or almost intercepted. So I've got Jones in the stellar backup QB category. If something happens and he has to play a few games, the team won't be in a bad spot. But any real length of time and better coordinated teams will start making adjustments around what Jones can't throw. Lock on the other hand, I've got him as a 3rd-4th round candidate. I don't think he's anywhere near ready for the NFL. I don't like his release point, I think he struggles with touch throws to the point where he might not "get it". He's got a legit arm, for sure, but the NFL is littered with 1st round busts who have a strong arm. My biggest issue with Lock is when there's interior pressure that comes in his face, I think his game falls apart completely when that happens. If we had him, I think we'd wonder why every team was blitzing us up the middle. Dallas's stunts would wreck Lock, and we'd spend the first two years begging to fix our o-line issues, before realizing in the 3rd year that Lock just folds under pressure. So for our 1st round QB ideas, that leaves to me, just Murray and Haskins. Haskins is going Top 7, but some team is probably trading up for him. Murray might fall due to his size. Do we draft Murray at 15? He's talented enough to say yes, but what if his small stature turns him into the next RG3? Could we even trade down and still draft Murray in the 20's? Maybe.
  2. Alcoholic Zebra

    2019 Comprehensive Draft Thread

    Edge groups need a rotation. Look at how many Edge rushers the Eagles had last year when they won the Super Bowl. Brandon Graham - 64.6% of the total D snaps Vinny Curry - 56.1% Derek Barnett - 41.1% Chris Long - 48.1% This year they lost Vinny Curry in Free Agency and added Michael Bennett. It's clear the Eagles value heavily rotating between 4 guys. We basically didn't have a rotation in 2018. Kerrigan played 79.2% and Smith played 80.5% of snaps. No other Edge player even got to 20% of snaps (Pernell McPhee was closest). 2017 was better, with Galette getting 37.4% of snaps. Even then, Galette was just a specialist, and wasn't getting the levels the Eagles use in a heavy 4 man rotation. 2016 was our best Edge rotation. Kerrigan 71.6%, Smith 69.8%, and Murphy 61.4%. Now that was a heavily rotated 3 man group compared to the Eagles 4 man group. --------------------------- So having talked about the need for a rotation, you want someone whose good enough vs run/pass to be involved more in the game than say Ryan Anderson or Junior Gallette. You want them to start approaching the capability to play half the game. Jachai Polite is good enough against the run to do that. He's not the liability that Gallette was on your average down. If he's on our team, the rotation would look more like 2016 even if we re-signed Preston Smith. If we don't re-sign Smith, we have the Edge building block for our future as Kerrigan ages.
  3. Alcoholic Zebra

    2019 Comprehensive Draft Thread

    Points in Polite's favor, 4 PD's (shown to surprisingly help correlate to transition to NFL game), hustle, smooth player and clearly more athletic than most, shows attempts at various inside and outside moves but the technique looks blegh. Given his hustle, this seems like a budding skillset to be developed. Shows ability to hand fight. Looks like he can drop into coverage extremely well for an Edge guy. Saw him track and follow a RB to the flat and did not look uncomfortable or awkward like most Edge guys. He singlehandedly shut down a read option with pure athleticism once (little hop step towards the QB forcing him to hand off then changed direction quickly and tackled the RB at the line). However, as I've read from you guys before, he does struggle to disengage from blocks once locked on to. Wonder if his arm length isn't ideal. Curious about his size. He's listed at 242, but read in other spots he's bigger than that? What's up with Florida and their inability to run a stunt? Saw a few with Polite looping around, and he looked bad, the rest of the DL looked bad. They didn't call those often, but either it's coaching or Polite has no knack for selling the up field step. He looks so athletic that stunts should be easy money for him.
  4. Alcoholic Zebra

    2019 Comprehensive Draft Thread

    I do worry about where he'd fit if Reuben Foster also suits up. Maybe Shaun Dion-Hamilton is destined to be a rotational LB anyways? Reuben and Bush have overlapping skillsets, but they are certainly in demand. They'd also fix a lot of issues we've been having with LB's in 2018. Bush is a trade down candidate. I want a TE on Day 2 (Hockenson or Irv Smith), so I'd like some more ammo to ensure it. The Colts have picks #26 and #34. Maaaaybe we can get both of those?
  5. Alcoholic Zebra

    2019 Comprehensive Draft Thread

    Where's a good place to catch updates for the EW Shrine Practices? -------------------------- Just watched some Michigan tape focusing more on Devin Bush and Chase Winovich. Winovich is someone I think goes in Round 3-4. I like him a lot as a player, I like his effort and intensity, I like that he tries different things to get after the QB. I don't like his inability to really survive through contact and to disengage from blockers. He gets knocked off course frequently. Curious what he weighs, I think he needs to somehow add some more muscle despite already being listed at 255. Devin Bush is difficult. Some of his traits say Round 1, others say Round 2 (or Round 3). He gets caught up in traffic too often, he can't really disengage. He gets taken out of plays by fakes and the like. He sometimes has awful technique when tackling, instead choosing for a big hit. That said, he's got clear burst, he does a good job matching receivers going through his zone, and from what I can tell he's good at spotting when the RB is leaking out to the flat.
  6. Alcoholic Zebra

    2019 Comprehensive Draft Thread

    From talking to Giants fans, they don't want to re-sign Landon Collins, they think his play has fallen off and he'll get far more money in FA than he's worth. Apparently his great year (2016 i think?) was an aberration.
  7. Alcoholic Zebra

    2019 Comprehensive Draft Thread

    What about safety? I think based on where talent likely lies in this draft, the board would look something like MLB > OL > S > CB > WR. There are a lot of big bodied targets with a large catch radius, which is great, but not many who can really separate from defenders. The best WR in the draft that's just difficult to cover, is woefully undersized. Like smaller than DeSean Jackson, who is already pretty small.
  8. Alcoholic Zebra

    2019 Comprehensive Draft Thread

    Not sure how to adjust the quote, and ES is being stupid and not letting me quote something from anything but the current page. So if this is how you mention somebody, we'll find out. @Cooleyfan1993 If jalen Hurts declared for the draft, I think he'd go undrafted. I don't think he can do anything in the NFL.
  9. Alcoholic Zebra

    2019 Comprehensive Draft Thread

    Todd McShay released his Big Board with the Top 32 prospects. It's not looking good for teams needing offensive help. It's a loaded defensive draft though. Here are all of the offensive players in his Top 32. #12, OT, Jonah Williams #14, OT, Cody Ford #18, QB, Dwayne Haskins #20, QB, Justin Herbert #21, OT, Greg Little #25, OT, Jawaan Taylor #27, WR, Marquise Brown #29, TE, Noah Fant #31, TE, Irv Smith Jr. That's only 9 players. That's nothing. The first guy is 12th. The first QB is 18th. The first WR is 27th. There aren't any RB's. He does have two TE's in, which is above the average.
  10. Alcoholic Zebra

    Next Day Thread: Redskins vs. Giants II

    I don't believe they can go after the prorated portion of the signing bonus. That money has already been paid out and the NFL needs to account for it against the salary cap. The rest of what you say makes sense and sounds reasonable. So even if I'm not wrong, he'd still be trying to come back to get the guaranteed salaries anyways so a retirement is highly unlikely.
  11. Alcoholic Zebra

    Next Day Thread: Redskins vs. Giants II

    If he retires his Cap Hit accelerates. It's the same thing as being cut.
  12. Alcoholic Zebra

    Next Day Thread: Redskins vs. Giants II

    Long story short, in the Apocalypse Cap Scenario, we'd have a Dead Cap hit of over $52 million. Keep in mind the damage that the $36 million cap penalty did to our roster in 2013.
  13. Alcoholic Zebra

    2019 Comprehensive Draft Thread

    I've only seen 3 games of Dwayne Haskins, but he's kind of a statue in the pocket. At least he stands tall in the face of pressure and still releases it when he's about to get smacked, but there are a lot of occasions where you think "Just move to the side a little, buy a bit more time!" That's going to be rough for him in the pro's with better pass rushers coming at him. We'd need really good Guards to help keep a clean pocket.
  14. Alcoholic Zebra

    Next Day Thread: Redskins vs. Giants II

    I'm not surprised by the loss at all. I'm not surprised we got blown out either. I think the writing was on the wall for this game ever since Colt McCoy broke his leg. I don't know how a locker room rebounds from 2 respected QB's going on IR. There's a possible Apocalypse scenario for our Cap. The Smith injury puts us in a bad bind. We have a projected $13.75 million in cap room next season. Draft picks will bring that number down to $8 million. How can we get that up to something we can work with? We need to be ruthless and heartless in our cuts. We can not afford to have someone on the roster whose massively underperforming their contract. If the backups produce 80% of what they do for a 25% of the cost, then we have to go with the backup. 2019 Cuts: Jordan Reed - saves $6.12 million Zach Brown - saves $5.75 million Stacy McGee - saves $2.28 million Chris Thompson - saves $3 million Mason Foster - saves $2 million These cuts would push us to $32.9 million in cap room. Or probably $27-28 million after draft picks are signed. This gives us breathing room, but might not be enough. Ryan Kerrigan would save us a lot of money, but there's nobody on the roster who can replace him. Same with Vernon Davis, but there isn't anybody like his vertical threat on the team. Kerrigan and Davis both are durable guys, who have a history of playing 16 games. That alone increases their value compared to guys like Thompson and Reed who might get you 15 games, 10 games, 5 games, or none. If the Apocalypse Cap Scenario happens, then we're likely cutting everybody who performs or not that's on their 2nd contract. Kerrigan, Davis, Williams, Norman, etc.
  15. So this is a move to retain his rights for 2019 and beyond? If what Doug is saying is true, it's worth the gamble. But if what Doug is saying is true, then they intend on him taking up a roster spot and not playing in 2018. There's no way his legal issues will resolve within a month right?