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RonJeremy

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Posts posted by RonJeremy

  1. So I saw the first keg of sams octoberfest before it was even august last week!

     

    I thought to myself, already?! its still summer! jesus damn shame lol

     

    Earlier and earlier every year it comes out it seems

     

    I love Oktoberfest beers...but I have my personal thing where I don't drink one before Week 1 of the Regular Season.   :)

     

    Can't wait....for both!!!

    • Like 1
  2. Been meaning to check it out.

    I like the Big Punisher, and want to try some of their other beers but they're pricey. I'd like to sample a few, before dropping $12.00+ for a sixer.

    How much were the pints and, how was the $8.00 pizza?

     

    Get a flight (sampler)....you get 4 beers....5 oz pours I believe...it was $7/$8 for the flight...it is served on a skeleton key holder.  That way you can sample and then get a pint for roughly the same price ($7/$8) if you find something you like. I didn't get the pizza.  I wasn't feeling the $8/slice price tag.  The Food Truck schedule is on the website....plus they aren't open everyday, so definitely check the website before you go:

     

    http://jailbreakbrewing.com/

     

    Enjoy! 

  3. plank-road-brewing-company-red-dog-lager

     

    What ever happened to Red Dog Beer?

     

    :lol:  :lol:  :lol:

     

    Ahhh...the memories....I used to drink that **** back in college....thanks for the hangovers Red Dog!!

     

    I went to Jailbreak Brewery in Laurel, MD a few weeks ago....nice taproom and easy to get to....the $8/slice pizza truck in the parking lot was a little pricey.  Had a good time and enjoyed Feed the Monkey (Hefe), Big Punisher (Double IPA), Southern Cross (kolsch)....decent beers.  Not the greatest ever but I enjoyed the afternoon.  Worth a stop if you are in that area.

  4. J.C. Jackson....new Terp Cornerback.  Hopefully he can stay clean while at UMD....

     

    Jackson originally signed with Florida as a member of the class of 2014, but was charged with armed robbery and dismissed from the team after his redshirt freshman season. His case went to trial where he was found not guilty, but the damage to his Florida career had already been done. He couldn't return to the Gators, and spent a year at Riverside Community College. He appeared to be headed to join his former head coach Will Muschamp at South Carolina before "a ruling beyond South Carolina's control" prevented him from joining the team, according to Shurburtt. Now he might be joining DJ Durkin, who was Jackson's defensive coordinator for the Gators.

     

    http://www.testudotimes.com/maryland-terps-football-recruiting/2016/6/30/12063874/jc-jackson-florida-south-carolina

    • Like 2
  5. As soon as article 50 is triggered, isn't a two-year clock running? Aside from what that means for decades of legislation and regulations that will need to be changed and the costs of doing that, what happens to European citizens currently working in the UK, and to UK citizens throughout Europe who would similarly lose their rights of work, residency etc. Rights to own businesses and property will change significantly. Changing jobs will be more difficult if countries enforce rules that EU citizens are hired over non--EU, etc.

     

    It will be a two year process, with political and economic uncertainty around the exit negotiations likely to persist for months, if not years.  The ultimate impacts of BREXIT will hinge on the politicians in the UK and EU working together.....good luck with that.  

  6. Never had it on tap before, but like it out of a bottle. I'm a big fan of the quads/dubbels/dark trappist style ales. My go-to is Rochefort 10, one of the finest beers going in my opinion. Not too hard to get hold of in the UK, fortunately.

     

    I am going to pick up the Rochefort 10 this weekend.  I found a store not far from me that carries it.  I am looking forward to trying it.  Thanks for the recommendation.

  7. Last night I had Saint Bernardus Abt 12 Belgian Quad.  It was recommended by a co-worker and was on draft at my favorite Happy Hour spot.  It was fantastic!!!  I highly recommend it.....one of the original recipes from the day of the Trappist monks of Westvleteren. One of the best beers I have ever tasted.

  8. I got a little caught up in the hype last year when Dead Rise first came out and it was scarce.... I was calling around because it was sold out everywhere. DButz65 was even helping out with where shipments were going.  I finally got hold of a six pack and... meh.     I agree with your last line - I like Old Bay, but it just didn't work for me as a beer ingredient. 

     

    Generally I'm good with Flying Dog's beers.  I liked their Bloodline blood orange ale. 

     

     

     

     

    I actually had the Blood Orange ale last Friday night on draft....I will give credit where it is due...I enjoyed that one.  

     

    I am looking to visit a brewery local to me...Jailbreak...next week and see what the have to offer.  I have only had their Kolsch (Christoph's Waltz) and thought it was very good.

  9. Man you need to get those taste buds fixed. That's my go-to summer brew.

     

    I find Flying Dog really hit or miss with their beers...this was a big swing and a miss.  I have lived in MD my whole life and was raised on Old Bay....and this isn't my favorite use of the spice. 

     

    On draft or bottle?

    Its 100x better on draft than in the bottle IMO

     

    I had it a party in a bottle.  

  10. Went to my local Pub last evening and got a flight of the following:

     

    Weihenstephaner 1516

    Jailbreak Christoph’s Waltz Kölsch

    Victory Kirsch Gose

    Rogue Shakespeare Oatmeal Stout NITRO

     

    Loved everything except the Gose....it was alright...just not my favorite .  

  11. i sold when it hit 75 :(

     

    but i had determined that at 22 it was undervalued and at 50 i could no longer determine when it was under/over valued. at 75 i jumped out.

     

    oh well. hindsight is fun, but when you have no idea if the stock is under/over valued anymore (and you have no faith long term in the company or dividends coming your way) it's time to get out :(

     

    That is a nice profit.  You sold it when you felt it was a good time....don't look back!  I need to take me own advice...I know!

     

    As my Grandfather used to say "you never go broke selling something for a profit"...simplistic view...but not a bad way to look at it.

    Sure wish I didn't sell GUSH after it reverse split earlier this month.

    Oh well, such is life.

     

    Yeah, that has been killing it the last month and half.  I have been watching it lately....as the price at the pump rises

  12. To channel techboy, it's all market timing. You are assuming that last year's high is some sort of meaningful number that represents the "true" value of AAPL, and that's it's now discounted. Nothing wrong with that, but it's the same thing RonJeremy is doing when he is concerned that the stock can drop. Both of you have come up with a number that you think the stock is "actually" worth, and you're comparing today's price with that.

     

    Again, there is no problem with that, but you can't accuse someone else of market timing when you are essentially saying "Now is a great time to buy AAPL!"

     

     

     

    My comment was not about what AAPL is actually worth.  My point was about further eroding of the stock price due to Institutional Investors dumping AAPL, since it may no longer being considered a Large Cap Growth stock in investing circles.  If Portfolio Managers of Large Cap Mutual Funds decide to sell out of AAPL it could really drop the price.  I don't have a price opinion on AAPL, I was just pointing out a real risk of a further price drop.  Hopefully that clears it up. 

    EVERYONE market times at some point.  The word is meant as a negative.

     

     

    It is not a negative if you are speculating on an individual stock.  Getting in and out for a profit is a timing thing.  But that is not investing...market timing is a negative when you are talking about overall investing.

  13. Why wouldn't you buy it right now? Stuff is on sale (28% off from last year's high). Because you think you can get a better price tomorrow? 

     

    That's market timing. 

     

    My concern with buying AAPL right now is that this is a nice dip....but it could go lower fairly soon.  Apple has been considered a Growth Stock forever...that is changing right now.  A lot of large mutual fund companies could dump Apple out their "Large Cap Growth" Mutual funds.  It may be considered a Value Stock going forward.  While it is in transition from Institutional Buyers (i.e. Mutual fund companies) the price could really dip.  If some of these Large Cap Growth funds dump it, it could be huge blow...probably temporary....but the price could really drop.  This may not be the bottom for AAPL...and yes, this is a total timing thing....which isn't bad if you are speculating on an individual stock.  Not a viable strategy with your overall portfolio of investments.

  14. Down goes AAPL...down $8/share at the open.  I wouldn't buy it right now.  


    The one argument with AAPL, and I would say it applies to Samsung or any technology company is what is left to innovate.  Phone features now are WAY overrated as compared to when the first iPhone came out.  Fingerprint authentication, waterproof, dual cameras?  Phones have pretty much reached their max potential as a computer.  Wall Street is looking for a new great invention.

     

    Exactly....until they launch a new product that is a "market disrupter" they are not going to grow as a company....need to be a market innovator with Driver-less cars....imo

  15. But it still market timing.  You are hoping to hold to some point in the future when you will get the a good deal (as compared to other investment opportunities).

     

    In a broad sense, yes.  You have to jump into the market at some point and will pick the time in which you sell out a particular stock or fund in the future.  In this case, I am speculating with one stock.  

     

    When I was speaking about market timing above, I was referring to selling your portfolio when you have a dip in the market and then try to buy everything back when the market goes up and selling at the next dip instead of just holding your portfolio the whole time.  Studies have shown selling out of every investment when the market dips and then getting back in when the market goes up really costs you in the long run.

     

    Hopefully this clears it up a little.  I have one stock (XON) that I plan to hold for at least a year that I am speculating that it will go up hopefully , but I also have a portfolio of investments (other stocks, mutual funds, etf's, municipal bonds, etc.) that I will be holding for the next 20 years regardless of what the market is doing. I won't be trying to time the selling and rebuying of those investments.  I will just be holding them.  

  16. I don't really want to debate the point, but you're holding it for the year. What if it sees a big jump in six months say double or triple your purchase price. I feel like you'd probably sell at that point instead of waiting another six months to sell. 

     

    Debate is good.  Yes, I would consider selling it in 6 months if I saw a large amount of appreciation....but I plan to be disciplined and reevaluate in 2017.  I could hold on to XON another 5 years.  If the stock ran up 10x its price over the next 5 years (like UA did from 2009-2014), I would kick myself for dumping it after 6 months.  So, I am trying to be disciplined and evaluate yearly.   

  17. RJ, honest question. How is what you're doing with XON different than market timing?

     

    I am speculating.  I bought the stock to hold it in hopes that they find a viable solution to combating the Zika virus.  Market timing would be jumping out of the stock last week as it started to drop and then trying to buy back in once the price theoretically stabilized and was starting to go back up (which it has dipped again today, so it hasn't stabilized yet).  You may save a little downside drop in the short term but jumping in and out over the long run isn't a viable strategy.  I bought 200 shares of XON back in February and I am holding them....currently at a loss but that is only on paper at this point.  I could buy more now and lower my overall cost basis/per share cost but I am not comfortable speculating with more than 200 shares of XON. This is a buy/hold deal for the rest of this year.

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