People are rolling their eyes again. So for reference, see the "Probability Yardstick" used by British intelligence as a standard guideline for probabilistic language in intelligence estimates (developed the aftermath of Iraq). See, "Almost Certain" (90%+) is as high as it goes. https://t.co/UHvZBubiJC pic.twitter.com/j7wJIXPcBJ

— Tobias Schneider (@tobiaschneider) June 15, 2019