Remarkable: the swing in the House vote vs. 2020 is currently R+7.9 (will shrink a bit), but Rs on track to net just ~2% of House seats. Biggest reasons:

1) Strong D incumbents/problematic Rs in swing seats
2) Low turnout in urban safe D seats
3) More uncontested R races

— Dave Wasserman (@Redistrict) November 14, 2022