Rep. Elise Stefanik (R) beat Tedra Cobb (D) 56%-42% in 2018, a terrific Dem year. And the voters who stayed home there in 2018? Overwhelmingly whites w/o college degrees, aka Trump’s base.

There are 15-20 legitimately vulnerable R House seats. #NY21 isn’t remotely one of them.

— Dave Wasserman (@Redistrict) November 19, 2019