Derek Carr's game-tying TD pass to Foster Moreau had just a 30.6% completion probability, driven by Moreau's distance from the back of the end zone (0.3 yards).

The play increased the Raiders' win probability from 20.9% to 36.9%.#LVvsSEA | #RaiderNation pic.twitter.com/ejHX5zyQIX

— Next Gen Stats (@NextGenStats) November 28, 2022