I guess one thing that really stands out here is that it doesn't take that much to go from a massive Biden Electoral College landslide (if he wins everywhere on the list below, that's 413 EV) to a narrow Biden loss (he's only ahead 3.7 points in the tipping-point state). https://t.co/E03bEeqKBr

— Nate Silver (@NateSilver538) June 13, 2020