New from me today: The Crystal Ball's first 2022 gubernatorial ratings.

MD will be hard for Rs to hold without Hogan. Toss-ups are AZ, GA, KS, PA, WI.

I'm emphasizing that this is a baseline -- I'm sure we'll have some changes + surprises by 2022.

— J. Miles Coleman (@JMilesColeman) March 11, 2021