Commanders punt on 4th-and-3 at NYJ 46.

Only costs them 1.0% of WP because they are down big but make no mistake, that's an awful choice: note the large difference between breakeven % and first down chance.

That signals: clear and obvious error. pic.twitter.com/6Hyp76GspE

— Seth Walder (@SethWalder) December 24, 2023