There is a 20% chance that NH ends with a tie in pledged delegates.

For instance, a vote share of Sanders 28%, Buttigieg 26%, Warren 17%, others <15% would produce a delegate tally of Sanders 9, Buttigieg 9, Warren 6, assuming the vote was evenly distributed across CDs.

— Nate Silver (@NateSilver538) February 10, 2020