I mean... it's likely that some of these polls are outliers. But it's worth keeping in mind that the last two elections in which the country was in real bad shape (1980, 2008), there was a fairly sharp break away from the incumbent party in the last month of the campaign. https://t.co/cz6i4iqqfD

— Nate Silver (@NateSilver538) October 1, 2020