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  2. The Consigliere

    2019 Comprehensive Draft Thread

    Np, the sense I get is the Alabama effect will lift him into round 1. He's also got some interesting qualities, he's got that PFF stat (nearly 50% of his runs were for TD's or 1st downs), and he's got people raving about contact balance, and if they're right, that was the exact same trait that had people keeping Hunt high up their boards two years ago after his crummy combine. But yeah, Sanders is just the better prospect. The knocks, fumbling (generally not a sticky stat if taken from such a small sample size), and dominator/breakout age (who was going to take Saquon's job from him? No sin in failing to pull a JK Dobbins on Barkley) are not relevant. The positives (all 76th percentile or better combine #'s, including an 83rd percentile agility score and the passing game chops to prove it) are just overwhelming. I don't know how you take a Josh Jacobs ahead of Sanders. Jacobs couldn't beat out Damien Harris, not exactly Saquon Barkley. I don't expect Sanders to be a monster at the next level, just a good starting rb w/passing game chops to disguise play calling decisions and limit roster spots needed for pass catching specialists at RB. We'll see how he does at the next level, but my guess is that he ends up being one of those classic 1250-8 TD's rushing, and 30-50 catches a year, no problem.
  3. ConnSKINS26

    2019 Comprehensive Draft Thread

    I really don't think Marquise Brown is 166. He looks more solid than that on tape, that's almost Brandon Banks levels of scrawny, and Banks was actually 5'5" and compact (for that weight). Brown isn't that tiny. I think he lost 15+ lbs of good weight recovering from injury/surgery. That would be my guess. He's probably the type of guy who has to work to keep that weight on, but I think he was doing that work, and would do even more in the NFL.
  4. Tonight on Hannity: Special guest, ExtremeSkins tailgate poster TWA, reinforcing everything he heard on Tucker Calrson.
  5. visionary

    Game of Thrones Season 8

    Set after the Blackfyre rebellion, I think. https://www.twitch.tv/videos/412094110
  6. The Consigliere

    2019 Comprehensive Draft Thread

    Butler, Harry and AJ Brown were all easily at their most productive as Big Slot. Butler's production was heavily tilted towards Big slot usage, not outside usage. Harry is probably the most impressive, has more 20+ yard receptions than Hollywood Brown, and Hribar Charted an in game sequence in which he had 9 consecutive catches running 9 separate routes from distinct personal groupings. I am a big fan of Harry, and he can do a lot, and it wouldn't surprise me if he excelled at X, but after what he did at ASU, it makes sense to line him up all over the place. He knows how to do it and can produce that way. Hribar went as far as saying NFL teams would be straight up fools to draft Butler and use him as an outside WR. To paraphrase/quote him, "He's a better option to line up inside and run up the seam. He lead the nation in yards per route run from the slot (5.2), 5 of his 9 TD's came from the slot, and he averaged 24.9 yards from the slot. That's where he won in college, the big slot position. If you're an NFL team subjectively drafting him based on the tape, and you don't use him heavily in that role, you're an idiot." As for Metcalf. terrible breakout age, dominator stinks, agility score stinks, and he can run 2 or 3 routes tops. Doesn't make a lot of sense to take him. AJ Brown ran 54% of his routes from the slot, Reception Perceptions Matt Harmon's take on him (Both Matt Kelley and Rich Hribar have him as the #2 WR in the draft) Link: https://www.thefantasyfootballers.com/articles/reception-perception-a-j-brown/ , " Having Brown in a usage plan that has him take a majority of his snaps from the slot would certainly allow his future team’s interior passing game to be maximized. However, I’d contend that Brown will not need to be a strictly inside receiver at the next level. When tasked with defeating press coverage, he showed a variety of release moves to get free off the line. He can also get free in the vertical game. Brown’s buildup speed is obvious and he is perhaps the best receiver in this class at shaking defenders at the stem of his routes. That will make him a chore to cover on deep posts and corners. He’ll wreck seems that way. Indeed, the best role for Brown is likely a continuation of the resume he’s built as a big slot receiver. However, this is a player that can shine playing flanker at a near 50 percent rate in two-wide sets and may even be able to survive as an X-receiver on occasion, if his release technique continues to develop. Should he operate as a primary slot receiver, he won’t be one of these short-area exclusive threats. He’s a player that will do damage down the field, furthering his case as a player to maximize that slot spot.
  7. .... he said, ignoring the inconvenient fact that he's been told otherwise, multiple times, in this very thread. It's kind of like the untrue talking point that receiving things from a foreign government, to help your political campaign, is perfectly legal as long as there's no crime as long as there's "no collusion".
  8. Skin'emAlive

    2019 Comprehensive Draft Thread

    @stevemcqueen1 steve, I’ve seen you bat hard for DK on here. I myself have waffled over the idea. I could convince myself it’s a good pick, or a reach. It really could go either way. Imo, we don’t have the ability to land Haskins, should he fall, and DK. Do you think it would be a good idea to try and trade up for a guy like DK if he fell a bit should we land Haskins at 15?
  9. He said exactly what he meant multiple times to multiple people though.
  10. You run into problems with the meant part in most cases But maybe Pelosi will agree with you, but not looking like it so far. Or she is afraid of the results.
  11. Skinsinparadise

    2019 Comprehensive Draft Thread

    I used Sharp's book to dissect Jay's play-calling in a long post last year. It's a great tool because he looks at just about every team's tendencies and stacks that to percentage of expected success. I used to be a teacher's assistant for stats in college so I can appreciate metrics-PFF-Football Outsiders-combine stuff as much as anyone. I post as much PFF stuff here as anyone else. I posted most of the pre-combine articles about what combine stats matter for what positions, etc. When I am looking at prospects especially of late, I am starring at whatever metrics I have. Right now its Brugler's draft guy which lists for each prospect their production and combine numbers. I am not saying you are on the opposite side of any of the points i am about to make. I am just laying out my take about metrics-combine, etc. The thing is variables change. The past isn't always prologue. Trends change. Marquise Brown and other undersized speedy players I contend will be a growing trend thanks to team's growing tendencies to find speed mismatches in open space. The dominator scale if I recall values speed with height and thereby would be less fans of dude's like Marquise, Tarik Cohen, Hilton, etc. To them if I recall tall + speed > small + speed. The dominator scale if I recall values players who eat up a lot of production in the mix of the teams stats. But what happens though if a team has three stud receivers -- wouldn't that knock down the score of those guys? That would apply to some teams. It's not hard to come up with a formula that can lead someone in a certain direction especially if it fits a predisposition like big receivers are more valued than smaller ones. Or whatever. For example, I have a study that shows the variable that has the most correlation to success of a receiver is actually the broad jump not the 40 time. I don't think there is close to a perfect stat to sum up prospects. You can't IMO run a team like one of those quantitative based mutual funds like Bridgeway where you don't need to study stocks but you just pick the ones that fit the metrics you are looking for. Also clearly something would have to give in the later rounds. Picking apart mid and late round prospects by saying they don't have both excellent production-and excellent traits and have a variables we can question so lets pass -- its not hard to rip apart just about any prospect in that range. In that range the odds that you are going to find a player who was ultra productive and a combine stud is unlikely. It's very likely something has to give. Maybe they were super productive but just ordinary at best as to speed-height or maybe the reverse.
  12. If you're telling them to do something (legal or illegal) that is meant to obstruct an ongoing investigation then there absolutely IS a law broken.
  13. The Consigliere

    2019 Comprehensive Draft Thread

    We blew it when we passed on James last year. Blew it BADLY. At least Payne isn't a bust, but he was never likely to be anywhere close to the prospect James was, illustrated the perils of laser focusing on a positional need w/your first, rather than value. In terms of this year, I like a lot of guys in that trade down (25th or lower) to 2nd round area. I really like Thornhill, and Adderly. It sounds like we love Savage, but we just signed a guy to a ridiculous contract that basically does what Savage does, so I don't entirely understand the desire for Savage? Hooker seems interesting as well. I don't understand Zierlein's take which seems to imply a lack of explosivness, speed, and athleticism. 83rd Percentile Speed Score. 63rd Percentile Burst Score. 84th percentile Agility Score. What is he talking about? I suppose he's seeing things on film that alarm him, but the combine says he's full of it, that he has all those explosive traits in spades.
  14. Now if you mean he raised awareness by reaching out to the Russians for help during the election campaign I would have to agree with you.
  15. On December 30th, the Canes were 16 points behind the Caps with a 15-17-5 record. Since that time they had the 3rd most points in the entire league and finished 5 points behind the Caps. That’s not an inferior team by much.
  16. Jericho

    Starting QB 2019???

    I guess. Trubisky is a great example. But still, I've heard no rumblings of anyone wanting to trade up for Haskins. In fact, it's gone the opposite way where all the rumblings are about Haskins falling. And I've seen no suggestion that Haskins would go any earlier than #6 to NY. And even that is pretty suspect. So I really don't get the idea that any team should pay a king's random to trade up to #3. It's like going to an auction and bidding a million dollars on an item everyone else is bidding in the thousands on. Just seems crazy. And you're right, teams can go crazy for QBs. While teams are desperate for a franchise QB, it's usually the bad teams that go crazy. Tom Brady was a 6th round pick. San Diego got Brees at #32 after trading out of #1 and getting Tomlinson. Ben Roethlisberger slid all the way to #11 despite widely being consider a top 7 player in his draft (and almost universally better like than Rivers). Rodgers slid all the way to #24. And yet teams fought over trading up to get the likes of Mark Sanchez, Ryan Leaf, and Paxton Lynch. I really hope this team doesn't make a dumb move (again), but it seems inevitable
  17. Alcoholic Zebra

    2019 Comprehensive Draft Thread

    According to 3Sigma, he ran a 4.82 40 with a 1.69 10yard split. It wasn't just his 3cone that was awful, his Short Shuttle clocked in at 5.12 seconds. For all of the commentary that DK Metcalf couldn't change direction when he ran similar times to guys like Dez Bryant. Jaylon Ferguson tested like he literally couldn't change directions. So I just watched some of AJ Brown's film after DK Metcalf got hurt. I like him more now. They lined him up almost exclusively as an 'X' in the games I saw. Goto 4:38. I like this route. Hesitation step into selling vertical stem towards the boundary side of the corner, to stopping and cutting inside. He got the corners flips turned and then made his move. A few plays later you see him mistime a 50/50 ball. Awful throw turning what should be an open/uncontested catch into a jump ball contest with the safety. He's not a jump ball guy like Doctson, Butler, Harry, JJAW. But he does maneuver well towards open space and drifts naturally away from safety help. I think he's got something to work with as an X receiver.
  18. wilco_holland

    2019 Comprehensive Draft Thread

    Not my person opinion this time. I just react to the news that is leaking out...that he is gaining steam. I don't see anything special to him. 3th or 5th round rb won't be much worse.
  19. The Consigliere

    2019 Comprehensive Draft Thread

    Don't get it. The pro day should've murdered his stock for once and for all. Sanders is just a much, much, much better prospect (granted the fumbling will always scare off teams).
  20. The Consigliere

    2019 Comprehensive Draft Thread

    Probably the single funniest part of the trade is that Clark did far worse supposedly, in a domestic violence incident that got him booted off Michigan in his draft year, then what Kareem Hunt did. However there were three key differences for the Chiefs. #1: Hunt was caught on video doing it. This also seems to be the only thing that gets the NFL to act on anything. #2: Clark plays a far more vital position that is signficantly more difficult to address. So for the billionth time, when teams say they care about character it was, is, and will always be total <censored>. Btw, I've come to really not be concerned w/it anymore. Once Kirby Puckett got outed as a flat out monster, and Eugene Robinson fumbled away his man of the year award while getting arrested the night before the super bowl he was set to start in it really put the lie to the character talk for once and for all. We don't know these guys, we never will. You never have any clear idea who is a bad actor and who is not, arrests or not. The only thing I know for sure is that the league and your favorite team are ALWAYS lying when they talk about character. They only care about it when it effects them w/bad publicity AND w/their bottom line win total. otherwise they couldn't give less of a <censored>.
  21. Today
  22. They're not vastly inferior. Carolina is a good team that played well late. I'm proud of the Caps no matter what happens.
  23. The problem with telling members of the administration to do things that are illegal and they do not do them is there is no law broken.....not doing illegal things when ordered and pointing out the illegality is part of their job. Even when you tell them and they do them (such as DAPA) there is some deferential treatment given to the Executive despite the court ruling it against the laws..
  24. Malapropismic Depository

    Stand Up Comedians

    I got to not only see Ron White live, but I actually am one of the few people who witnessed him finish his drink.
  25. stevemcqueen1

    2019 Comprehensive Draft Thread

    I wouldn't take a slot specialist like AJ Brown or a tiny flanker/slot guy like Marquise Brown over bonafide X receivers like Metcalf, Butler, or Harry. It is so much harder to find a legit X than the other positions. In a year with three of them in the first to early second round range, you can't justify taking lesser guys at the more replaceable positions. I'm also not against trading up for Haskins. We need a quarterback. We can't do anything until we have one, and Haskins is as a legit prospect who might only be obtainable because a bunch of other teams just drafted QBs and the other bad teams seem to be acting really stupid about the position this offseason. Similar deal to 2017 in that way. When a top of the draft QB prospect falls, you freaking strike while the iron is hot. You don't wait until next year. Good Lord, that is not encouraging. Does it say what his 40 time was? He's got excellent size for an End, but when you're not explosive and you can't bend and you're not super powerful/physical, you don't have much of a foundation to win with. I think he added a bunch of garbage weight to bulk up this past season, and it's made it so he can't run any more.
  26. WelshSkinsFan

    Starting QB 2019???

    I think the big concern is that from the article it makes it seem as though his Dad wants to control aspects of his career and that did not work well with a certain first round QB in Washington a few years ago and it was also an issue for the Giants with Eli Apple and his mom. I am honestly cool on all of these prospects and would rather fill other spots on the roster but if we go QB I at least hope we get one by staying out or trading back, if we move up for these guys I am going to start throwing stuff.
  27. Alcoholic Zebra

    2019 Comprehensive Draft Thread

    Going to copy/paste his section on Jaylon Ferguson. It's not pretty. https://thedraftnetwork.com/articles/where-i-differ-from-the-consensus That's a really bad sign. He's stiff on film, his measurables are atrocious. That's a UDFA quality pro-day. You can't do anything with him, he's the opposite of versatile. Once he's on the field, every OL in front of him knows he's doing one thing and that's it.
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