crabbypatty

So the skins are sitting 4-2.. let's take a look at the rest of the schedule

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We are 5-2 seven games in with the passing game still getting it'd feet under it. If we can won games when we aren't playing our best, and can start getting going in the second half of the season, we can get hot at the right time. Winning when you aren't at your best is what a good team needs to do. It's giving our offense time to get.

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I know Monk’s take isn’t going to be a popular one and I’m not all the way there with it.  I do see the remaining schedule as a gift, among the best you could ask for.  That said, I agree that the way we’ve won thus far is not sustainable. 

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I don’t see our Redskins as any kind of real threat in the NFC but I think they have found a formula to be in every game. I think it will be a year where we as fans will be all in to the end. And that is something we don’t get very often. 

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If we can't break 30 tomorrow, we probably won't this year.  That would cap this team and its potential.

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40 minutes ago, Renegade7 said:

If we can't break 30 tomorrow, we probably won't this year.  That would cap this team and its potential.

We do still have a game against the giants left :P who knows, maybe our important players are back to full health by then 

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Before the season started, I figured we'd be 4-3, with losses to Green Bay, New Orleans and Carolina.  So, with a 5-2 record, we're doing slightly better than I expected. For the rest of the season, I have us winning against Atlanta, Tampa, New York, Tennessee, Jacksonville, and Philly at home. That brings our record to 11-5.  Since I ought to be more pessimistic in general, I think it's fair to predict a 10-6 record. At worst, we should go 9-7. (4-2 in the division and probably 4 losses in the conference)

 

I find it hard to see Philly beating the Rams or the Saints. The Eagles will have losable away games at Dallas and in Washington. The Texans will also present them with a formidable challenge at home. They should beat the Giants, as well as the Cowboys and us for their home games.  They could go 6-2, but it's much more realistic to have them go 5-3, giving them a 9-7 record (4-2 in the division and probably 5 losses in the conference).

 

The Cowboys could go 6-3, with wins against Titans, Giants, Bucs, Colts, Philly, and Washington, and losses to Philly, Atlanta, and New Orleans.  Their record would also be 9-7 (4-2 in the division and probably 6 losses in the conference).

 

 

 

 

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It's wild to think...Trent will be out for the next 4 weeks, yet the Skins have positioned themselves so that even if they go 1-3 over that timespan they will still have a winning record and could still be leading the division. And if that one win is against the Cowboys they will still be undefeated in the NFC East.

 

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We can't afford to lose tomorrow.  its the key game because it puts huge pressure on the Eagles and Boys and they play next week.  This is a must game if we want to have serious hopes to winning the division.

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23 hours ago, TheGreek1973 said:

We can't afford to lose tomorrow.  its the key game because it puts huge pressure on the Eagles and Boys and they play next week.  This is a must game if we want to have serious hopes to winning the division.

Guess now the division comes down to 

The Thanksgiving day at Dallas 

Monday night in Philadelphia 

Home vs. Giants 

All in consecutive weeks 

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This thread probably needs to be pinned or at least re-visited after every game, because with 8 games played & 8 games left, going 4-4 will lead a winning record and possibly a division title.  They might have to go 5-3 for that, but either way they are still in a decent position.

 

Also, we now know what this team is.  If they manage to slide into a bottom tier playoff spot, they are likely losing in the first round, but as it goes, you have to be a team that can do that first, and then build on it.

 

This team has an identity.  They win with defense, running game, and a timely 3-5 passes every game.  What you do now is look at the schedule and assess what teams that formula can beat.  The Eagles & Tampa...may  be tough to beat like that, however every other team remaining on the schedule, can be beaten with that sort of team.

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1 hour ago, NoCalMike said:

This thread probably needs to be pinned or at least re-visited after every game, because with 8 games played & 8 games left, going 4-4 will lead a winning record and possibly a division title.  They might have to go 5-3 for that, but either way they are still in a decent position.

 

Also, we now know what this team is.  If they manage to slide into a bottom tier playoff spot, they are likely losing in the first round, but as it goes, you have to be a team that can do that first, and then build on it.

 

This team has an identity.  They win with defense, running game, and a timely 3-5 passes every game.  What you do now is look at the schedule and assess what teams that formula can beat.  The Eagles & Tampa...may  be tough to beat like that, however every other team remaining on the schedule, can be beaten with that sort of team.

 

You're not going to beat Houston like that.

Likely to loose to Tampa and Eagles twice, like you said. And if the OL injuries persist, we could loose more. If Peterson is bottled up, we're going to lose most games.

 

Edited by Morneblade

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Going to boil down to which teams can the defense hold to less than 20 points because the offense is not going to give you more than that.  With all of the injuries on the OL that certainly is probably not going to change.

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I am sure after the Saints game, the same things were being said about the team as they were after the Falcons game.  There is a reason the Cowboys, Panthers, & Giants couldn't simply "oh just replicate what the Saints did."  Most teams can't just do that on offense, because they don't have the personnel.  

 

I am not delusional about what this team is/isn't, however I would also suggest that in year's past they likely lose the Dallas & Panthers game, hell maybe even the Giants games.  Now, they aren't winning those games by a lot, but in the end they are winning games they very likely lose in previous seasons.

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Simply put the Tampa game is a must win.  That will give us a little breathing room when we head down to Dallas.  We all know how hard is to beat the NFL and leagues darlings twice in one season.

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Going strictly by point differential, we have four games left against teams worse than us and four against teams better than us:

 

image.png.637ff4474dea6c237bbc93ed495f8d39.png

 

(This ignores the fact that we just got worse with three injuries to starters, and the Bus just got better by benching Crab Legs.)

 

Not saying any one game is a must win, but if we lose to Tampa Bay, we could be 5-7 in the blink of an eye.

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