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    • By JimmiJo in ES Coverage
         1
      Cowboys versus Redskins - now that just sounds correct.
       
      Hello friends, JimmiJo here along with THE Spaceman Spiff. Space is already on the sidelines, yucking it up with the important people. Me? I'm thinking how grateful I am for the 3-car accident on the beltway...
       
      If you cannot get up for this game, there isn't enough viagra made on earth for you. After all; the Redskins are hosting their eternal rival, the Cowboys. Winner will be sitting on top of the division, with a truckload of bragging rights.
       
      What's not to like?
       
      Well, for starters, everybody and their mom is inactive. Chris Thompson Jamison Crowder, Paul Richardson, Quinton Dunbar; all inactive. What a time to have have your top two receivers out. The chatter here in the press box is Washington should do what they can to bring in receivers - to include making a trade with the Raiders for Amari Cooper.
       
      Then there's the question of which Redskins show up? They could come out and light Dallas up. Or, post an anemic effort to suffer another embarrassing lost. Neither would surprise me.
       
      One this is for sure, the distribution in fans is something like 55-45 Redskins. Already an embarrassment. Until you consider this team has done much to earn the lack of support.
       
      Still, you have offer the finger in the middle to those fans who sold their tickets to Dallas fans. What were you thinking?
       
      Back shortly...
       
      Inactives
       
      The Redskins declared the following players as inactive:
      o   No. 10 WR Paul Richardson Jr.
      o   No. 23 CB Quinton Dunbar
      o   No. 25 RB Chris Thompson
      o   No. 30 S Troy Apke
      o   No. 55 C Casey Dunn
      o   No. 74 T Geron Christian Sr.
      o   No. 80 WR Jamison Crowder
       
      The team held a touching tribute to my friend Rich Tandler, who passed this week.
       
      Follow along in-game on Twitter @Skinscast
       
      Half
       
      Did you hear the one about the team that got chance after chance but couldn't score more than a touchdown?
      That's right; they are tied at 7 at the half and completely anemic in the second half.
       
      "Against the run of play" is a term you hear in soccer all the time. It is applicable here. It means the better team is either tied or trailing.
       
      Whoever said football was fair?
       
      Washington needs to find a way to get hot in the second half. The Dallas Cowboys are infinitely beatable today.
       
      JimmiJo
       
      How do you like them apples?
      The Washington Redskins sent them home happy today. Along the way my ulcer started bleeding, I threw up twice, and peed the chair I was sitting in.
      Up by 10 at the two-minute warning, I did not expect to be hoping for a missed field goal to avoid overtime. But there I was, crossing fingers and toes and noticibly relieved when the ball bounced off the upright to seal the win.
      A lot of things had to go right for the Dallas Cowboys to even have a shot at the end. A lot more things went right for Washington.
      The Redskins held Ezekiel Elliot to just 33-yards rushing. They forced two fumbles by Dak Prescott, one of which went for a Redskins' touchdown, and sacked him a total of four times. 
      Ryan Kerrigan had his best day of the season, sacking Prescott twice, one of which caused the fumble for the score. Preston Smith scored the touchdown off of the fumble. Jonathan Allen and and Ryan Anderson each logged a sack. DJ Swearinger hit Prescott square on the ball to cause the other fumble by Prescott.
      And then there was the offense.
      Adrian Peterson defies time and physics in what he can still do on the football field. His ability to change directions instantly, the speed he still posesses, and his ability to play through multiple injuries is astonishing. He ran for 99-yards on 24-carries with a 4.1 yard per carry average. 
      Kapri Bibbs, the other back; added just 13-yards rushing. But as a receiver he caught 4 passes for 43-yards and the first touchdown of the game.
      Josh Doctson reeled in 3-receptions for 43-yards. Jordan Reed added 43-yards on his two catches. Maurice Harris logged 2 for 22-yards.
      Alex Smith had a adequate outting. He went 14/25 for 178 yards and a touchdown for a quarterback rating of 98.1. He was sacked once.
      His obvious miss of Jeremy Sprinkle running free in the end zone is almost cause for termination. Connect on that throw and the game is much more comfortable at the end. 
      The real stars of this show were the fat guys in the trenches. The offensive line that opened highway lane-wide holes for Peterson to run through, and the defensive line that wreaked such havok all game. 
       
      But we have to thank Dallas as well for things like an illegal snap to back the field goal unit up at the end. The holding call that negated the big gain one play before the sack/fumble/score was huge. They seemed to find ways to beat themselves.
       
      Despite the above, Dallas was right there until last miss that struck the goalpost. The win was entirely too close for comfort.
       
      But now that's it's over, I sure am enjoying the win.
       
      The Redskins sit alone at the top of the division after 6-weeks. They travel to New York next week where they can continue to help themselves with a win.
       
      But just because New York currently resides in the toilet does not mean they intend to roll-over and play dead. Washington will have their hands full if they don't get more production out of the offense.
       
      That's next week though. For now, I am intent on  enjoying an excellent victory. Against the Dallas Cowboys.
       
      What's not to like?
       
      Talk soon!
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Bang

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I'm so angry at Oregon. I had them as part of a three team moneyline parlay, with the Skins and Lions as the other teams. They had that game dammit.

 

Lions game ain't over yet but still you get the point.

 

Bills moneyline was the bet of the day. Who saw that coming? 

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8 minutes ago, abdcskins said:

 

Bills moneyline was the bet of the day. Who saw that coming? 

 

When I first looked at this game, I thought it was in Buffalo and had this feeling they could be one pissed off team, that could nasty their way into victory.  Once I noticed it was in MN, I just couldn’t wrap my head around them winning on the road and eventually convinced myself they’d win by double digit easily.  

Edited by BatteredFanSyndrome
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ALRIGHTY!
Week 4.

I had my worst week in years last week and didn't win a single game. Current season record 4-5

 

THIS week i get to try out a nugget i learned over the summer. When a team tavels more than 1100 miles and crosses 2 time zones to play on Thursday, the home team has covered all but once since 1994 (13 games met criteria)

SO..  tonight, the Vikings travel 1400+ miles, cross Mountain and Pacific zones..    even though it's a steep line, I am taking

Rams -7½

 

Eagles -4½ over the Titans. I don't really understand this line.. sometimes the books know something and floats out lines that seem to good to be true,, like this one. I guess the main reason would be the Titans managed to not get blown out by the Jags last week after they came off a monster win over NE.  Still,  Philly seems to me to be a lock here.

 

Saints -3 over the Giants..  again, a line that seems to good to be true..  maybe they are thinking the saints of week 1 and 2 are more likely than the Saints that rolled up the points last week... not sure, but the Giants are trash, and that's that. Somehow, this is a home-team line that usually happens when the books can't give any other edge to one team or the other. Home team -3 seems to be the standard. 
In this case, I am going with the notion that the Saints are finally out of the torpor that their loss in the playoffs last year left them in. They should blow the Giants out.

 

I also like the Dolphins +7 vs new england, but not enough to lay down any cash. Still not sure what the Phins OR the Pats are yet... but Brady losing 3 games in a row? Not so sure on that.



~Bang

Edited by Bang

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44 minutes ago, Bang said:

 

I also like the Dolphins +7 vs new england, but not enough to lay down any cash. Still not sure what the Phins OR the Pats are yet... but Brady losing 3 games in a row? Not so sure on that.



~Bang

 

I read some interesting theorizing about Belichick and the Lions game. For the life of me, I can't remember where I read it or who wrote it, but the gist was Belichick sometimes likes to view some games against non-conference teams as less important, and tries to get a jump on planning/preparing for the following week's game if it's against a conference, and especially a division opponent. In essence, he sacrifices some prep for a game he views as an acceptable loss, to make sure they're as ready as they can be for the more important game for playoff seeding, etc. No idea if it was just made up  BS, but I thought it seemed like something that could totally be in his wheelhouse. They did look like ass against Detroit, and it seems like they have no serious threats in the passing game, outside of Gronk. I'm interested to see that game this week. No way I'd put money on it though.

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I’m also very attracted to the that Saints line.

 

I love the Rams tonight but 7.5 just seems a bit too high.

 

One more thing cause @Bang likes trends...the Houston Texans are 2-14 at Indy and have never defeated Andrew Luck there.  They are currently 0-3 and a 1.5 point underdog.  Easy money?

Edited by TryTheBeal!
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I DO like the Colts ..  but eventually the Texans have to get one,, and ONE trend i think is a fact is that there are times these books KNOW something, and float out lines like this knowing everyone will jump all over it.

I am shying away..  and this week there seems to be several of them like that ( Saints and eagles, too.)

 

that trend i posted up before is just something I heard on a podcast over the summer, and thought it was interesting,, so I am going to chance it.

 

~Bang

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Dropping top on the 5.0 and taking the country roads up to Charles Town this morning.  Gonna meet some old band buddies and place a sizable wager on the Detroit Lions.  Might grab a porterhouse if things go well.  :)

 

Full report to follow...

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Surprised to see the dolphins as 7 point dogs. I guess everyone is thinking like me that the dolphins are the most overrated team in football and that there is no way that Brady and Bellicheck fall to 1-3

 

that said, 7 points?  It’s not that I think the dolphins are that great, it’s just that the patriots look good xceedingly average this year. I might take the dolphins if I gambled :)

On 9/27/2018 at 9:50 AM, TryTheBeal! said:

I’m also very attracted to the that Saints line.

 

I love the Rams tonight but 7.5 just seems a bit too high.

 

One more thing cause @Bang likes trends...the Houston Texans are 2-14 at Indy and have never defeated Andrew Luck there.  They are currently 0-3 and a 1.5 point underdog.  Easy money?

Wow that is the definition of “market inefficiencies”. The Colts are extremely underrated. I would take them in a heartbeat. I saw where si had them at #28 in their power rankings. Talk about no respect, they almost beat Philly and lost to Cincy in a fluke play

 

 

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4 hours ago, zoony said:

that is the definition of “market inefficiencies”. The Colts are extremely underrated. I would take them in a heartbeat. I saw where si had them at #28 in their power rankings. Talk about no respect, they almost beat Philly and lost to Cincy in a fluke play

 

This is why I don’t bet

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Giants +6.5 @ Carolina 

Atlanta + 3 @ Pittsburgh

@ Seattle +7.5 vs. LA Rams

 

Liking these 3 for the moment. 

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On 10/7/2018 at 9:09 AM, Kosher Ham said:

Giants +6.5 @ Carolina 

Atlanta + 3 @ Pittsburgh

@ Seattle +7.5 vs. LA Rams

 

Liking these 3 for the moment. 

 

Should have known to leave the Pittsburgh game alone. 

2 out of 3 ain't so bad though. 

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This weekend, i went with 

Bengals -5½

Ravens -3

Panthers -6½

 

1-2..   this year has not been good to me so far.

Season 6-9

 

~Dang

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Next week. Hmm... Might change my mind after Thursday. Early thoughts... Side note the over has been a really good bet for nearly every game in the low 40's predictions. 

 

@ Minnesota -10.5 vs. Arizona

Chargers - 1.5 @ Cleveland

Colts +2.5 @ Jets

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That Chargers game feels like a trap to me. Cleveland is playing everyone tight + on the road + they're the Chargers.

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