Skins24 Posted November 13, 2015 Share Posted November 13, 2015 El Nino. That's the big story this winter, and least early on. It is a very strong one, but unlike the '97-'98 El Nino (to which the strength can be compared,) this one is not east-based. More central. So the mid-atlantic going through this winter with very little snow is very unlikely. That said, we really don't know what this winter will bring. Every El Nino winter is different. However we can make some pretty educated guesses. With it's current set up and streghth, our chances of seeing a significant snowstorm is increased. That it is probably peaking right now, increases our chances of seeing a cold, snowly latter half of winter. And then unrelated to El Nino, there's record October snows again in siberia, also increasing our chances of a real winter. Now short term. Models are currently in agreement that the end of November will be vastly different from the beginning. Latest GFS run has us failing to reach 40 (even freezing) a couple of days (teens at night.) Both Euro and GFS has some storminess in the area Thanksgiving week but WAY WAY too early to conjecture on what this could mean. Currently no real consistency. Just possibly something to keep an eye on. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TD_washingtonredskins Posted November 13, 2015 Share Posted November 13, 2015 It's back! Love this thread! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
d0ublestr0ker0ll Posted November 13, 2015 Share Posted November 13, 2015 AwWwWwWwW snap! It's the WWT! Let the games begin! Tomorrow morning could drop to 32 in DC. Higher probability the more north and west you are. Will be a sunny but cold day, highs in the low 50s. Will go back up in to the 60s for the rest of next week though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chew Posted November 13, 2015 Share Posted November 13, 2015 Gonna be 68° here on Sunday afternoon for the Bronco game, then snow 30 hours later LOL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ellis Posted November 13, 2015 Share Posted November 13, 2015 Bring. It. On. \m/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
skinsmarydu Posted November 14, 2015 Share Posted November 14, 2015 Cases of water...CHECK. Kerosene heater clean & ready...CHECK. Five-gallon drum of kero...CHECK. Now, just gotta get to Sam's for that oh-so-necessary case of Beenie Weenies. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheGoodBits Posted November 14, 2015 Share Posted November 14, 2015 Firewood delivery this morning. I'm ready. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cooleyfan1993 Posted November 14, 2015 Share Posted November 14, 2015 Cases of water...CHECK. Kerosene heater clean & ready...CHECK. Five-gallon drum of kero...CHECK. Now, just gotta get to Sam's for that oh-so-necessary case of Beenie Weenies. They have Sams where u are too? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
skinsmarydu Posted November 14, 2015 Share Posted November 14, 2015 Oh yes, the Waltons are everywhere. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Springfield Posted November 15, 2015 Share Posted November 15, 2015 I'm hopeful about this winter given the world picture. I also feel that we are coming to better understand the big picture. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cooleyfan1993 Posted November 15, 2015 Share Posted November 15, 2015 Oh yes, the Waltons are everywhere. Sams convenience store? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
skinsmarydu Posted November 15, 2015 Share Posted November 15, 2015 No,I thought you meant Sams Club, lol Sorry, no Sam's convenience stores here that I'm aware of. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chew Posted November 16, 2015 Share Posted November 16, 2015 anywhere from 4-12 inches of snow tonight, depending on how long the storm stalls over the Denver metro. blizzard warnings in effect for the entire state of Colorado from 8 PM tonight through tomorrow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
d0ublestr0ker0ll Posted November 16, 2015 Share Posted November 16, 2015 For DC we'll have highs in the 60s until this weekend, where the temps will drop 10-15 degrees for the foreseeable future. This Thursday's cold air mass looks like it'll bring quite a bit of rain with it. Enjoy the snow Chewster! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chew Posted November 17, 2015 Share Posted November 17, 2015 Thundersnow! Holy ****!!!!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dfitzo53 Posted November 17, 2015 Share Posted November 17, 2015 I'm jealous. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mcsluggo Posted November 17, 2015 Share Posted November 17, 2015 here... it was LOWS around 50. i biked to work in shorts and a tshirt at 6:30 AM this morning... crazy (crazy goodness --- give me either snow, or continued indian summer. either/or) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chew Posted November 18, 2015 Share Posted November 18, 2015 11 inches yesterday, 5 inches last week. More snow on the way Friday. We're looking at possibly 20 inches so far for the season and it isn't even Thanksgiving yet. Yikes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mcsluggo Posted November 18, 2015 Share Posted November 18, 2015 another day of comfortably biking in shorts and tshirt at dawn..... but i fear it is the last until march/april Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mcsluggo Posted November 18, 2015 Share Posted November 18, 2015 this has been literally my commute for the last several weeks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Skins24 Posted November 18, 2015 Author Share Posted November 18, 2015 Enjoy it now. The next couple times we see decent temps (tomorrow, then very briefly Thanksgiving weekend) it'll be too wet to enjoy. Our first close call with frozen precip comes Sunday when a clipper comes through with a reinforcing shot of cold air. It looks to come through dry, but maybe, just maybe, we can squeak some snow flurries out. We recover temps wise the following weekend due to what's looking to be a massive storm. This storm will bring the first real shot of arctic air to the U.S. Hopefully we see the cold air spilling in before the precip stops, changing our rain to snow. A few GFS runs (including the latest) have shown this but....it's just so rare... We'll see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
d0ublestr0ker0ll Posted November 18, 2015 Share Posted November 18, 2015 This swath of rain moving in to the mid-atlantic is staying together about as well as any system I've seen. Just one gigantic squall line from the top of the country to the bottom, roughly 100 miles across. Heads up you all from NC to FL, it's looking like it'll be intense where you are. GA already getting hammered. Looks like it could be on top of DC by morning rush hour. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
skinsmarydu Posted November 18, 2015 Share Posted November 18, 2015 We just got a good band of it here in ATl, but I think it's moving fast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
d0ublestr0ker0ll Posted November 18, 2015 Share Posted November 18, 2015 We just got a good band of it here in ATl, but I think it's moving fast. Yeah you did, any lightning? Will still rain for a while there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pjfootballer Posted November 19, 2015 Share Posted November 19, 2015 Just what we need. More ****ing rain. It's not like it didn't rain for a week and a half straight a couple of weeks ago. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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