A few weeks ago I was convinced that a LTD was going to get done, but in light of recent news/leaks my confidence is waning somewhat.
With Scot gone there's one less voice in the sign-him camp IMO and Bruce's voice is now even stronger. It seems that if Bruce want's Kirk signed, then he gets signed. If he don't, he don't. Snyder could step in and overrule him (or even fire him), but I think that's unlikely.
I believe that if an acceptable deal is offered, Kirk will sign it. This whole 'I won't sign with Bruce there' theme will be swept away as just another ambiguous /false leak.
As others have speculated, I reckon that 24-25m per with a big chunk guaranteed would probably be acceptable. I'm sure that all parties involved already know what the likely acceptable deal will look like, but some amount of posturing is almost obligatory.
My fear is that 24m-25m is too much for the frugal Mr Allen and he thinks the drop-off to McCoy is not enough to justify paying it. He could also get some shiny new draft picks to play with as well.
Right now, I'm still thinking that we will get a LTD sorted, but maybe I'm just fooling myself because that is what I want to happen.
As far as the Scot sacking goes, I've changed my mind on it a few times already, with two contrasting scenarios considered:
A: Scot's drinking became an increasing problem. Bruce took more and more decision making away from the GM while the team was getting him help, but it eventually became untenable. It was clear that Scot was getting worse and it was agreed that he had to go. The team have said nothing publicly out of respect, allowing Scott to make a statement when and how he wants.
B: Bruce wanted things done his way and a power struggle ensued which ended with Scot being sacked. The drinking, while not a problem professionally, used in a well timed 'leak' to smear the ex-SMGM. Scot may be restricted in what he's allowed to say about the team, so a statement may not be forthcoming.
Maybe it's a bit of both, maybe there's a completely unknown variable involved. One thing's for sure, you know that we're all buying these guy's autobiographies when they come out. The truth is out there.