Alcoholic Zebra

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About Alcoholic Zebra

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    The Starter
  • Birthday 06/29/1985

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    Chicago and DC
  1. 2018 Comprehensive NFL Draft Thread

    RB has good value this draft for the 2nd round. BPA likely matches up there.
  2. 2018 Comprehensive NFL Draft Thread

    I don't like the pairing of Brown and Smith at ILB. If our DL was stout as all get out, then they'd be great. But they're going to get mauled by blockers (even TE's), and they lose run fits trying to evade blockers instead of doing what Mason Foster does (or last year's 1st round Jarrad Davis) which is engage quickly. I get what you're saying, have to think about 2019, 2020, etc. And theoretically we'd be able to figure out the DL situation by then, but it'd be a maddeningly inconsistent 2018 with loads of splash plays while also getting gashed. I can easily see him falling. He's fantastic at one thing, and is just 'OK' at other things you want Guards to do. He's a serious road grader in the run game...but he kind of isn't good in space. He often doesn't connect in the 2nd level. I would not want to pull him. You can scheme around some of that, and it's really tempting given how good he is at moving defenders off their spots. So that, plus the fact that he's a Guard and not a Tackle. I can see a fall to where he's available at #13.
  3. 2018 Comprehensive NFL Draft Thread

    I think we're not drafting Roquan Smith or Tremaine Edmunds at #13. Both of them are better suited towards the run-and-chase ILB spot (Mo) that was occupied by Zach Brown. I don't think either could handle the role Mason Foster (Mike) had last season. Zach Brown is re-signed on a 3 year deal. I don't think Roquan can be played alongside Zach Brown, they'd get wrecked by blockers. Edmunds is too raw to play Mike, he makes a lot of coverage and assignment mistakes. If we're looking for someone who can contribute this season, that's not either of them. Our good options at #13 are becoming more clear but limited. Trade down would be best.
  4. 2018 Comprehensive NFL Draft Thread

    I don't want to spend a 1st on a RB. I do like Ronald Jones, Michel, Guice, or Chubb in the 2nd. Keep in mind I like all of these guys, but they're not without worry. What I'm worried about with Jones is he weighs 205 lbs and struggles to regain balance once he's lost it. I worry he might be best as a change of pace guy that plays on 3rd downs. We sort of have that with Chris Thompson. Guice can do it all, but has a history of nagging injuries (that he'll admirably play through), and those tend to compound. Michel has burst, a lot of it, he picks his spot and hits it hard. I think he's a perfect Shanahan back. I don't think he's got much if any wiggle, and won't make much out of a busted play. With good blocking, Michel could be a pain to defend against, because he'll shift speeds to be where he needs to be when the hole opens up, and then he'll head downhill quickly. I have a feeling fears over Chubb's national championship game against Alabama would loom large and he'd be there at #44. When re-watching that cutup, there's not much he can do on some of those plays. Alabama's defense was in the backfield A LOT. Chubb has good burst (more than Perine/Fat Rob), but not like the above guys. Chubb reminds me of Frank Gore. Bad knee injury in college that sapped his otherworldly talent. Finished his college career healthy. What I like about both, is that I think both have better vision. They've had to adapt from what they once were able to do, and figure out what works.
  5. 2018 Comprehensive NFL Draft Thread

    Ioan and Allen did look great when healthy. But that was in the Nickel. Ioan and Allen can't move further inside to the 1 tech in a Base D. McGee is best as a strongside 5 tech, but not good when lined up further in. I think McClain was largely a disappointment. We have good DL pieces, but we're seriously lacking in a specific area. So we're tossing people in there that aren't suited for it. McClain, Hood, Ioan, McGee, and Allen all get bullied when you're in the 1 tech spot. I'm confused, did you want us to draft Reuben Foster or Jarrad Davis instead of Jonathan Allen?
  6. 2018 Comprehensive NFL Draft Thread

    Well I think we can scratch guys like DJ Moore, James Washington, and Calvin Ridley off of our list of potential picks in the 1st/2nd round.
  7. 2018 Comprehensive NFL Draft Thread

    I don't think we had a consensus. I believe my own big board did not have Foster or Hooker on it in the first. Foster personality issues (he got kicked out of the combine for being an asshole) and Hooker (injury issues). It did have McAffrey high somewhere. I was pretty high on Jon Allen, Jamal Adams, Marlon Humphrey, Solomon Thomas, OJ Howard, Garrett Bolles, Jarrad Davis, Budda Baker, Tyus Bowser, Chidobe Awuzie, and Dalvin Tomlinson. Wasn't high on Reddick, Foster, Hooker, Peppers (back when we had Su'a), Adoree Jackson, Taco Charlton, and Derek Barnett.
  8. 2018 Comprehensive NFL Draft Thread

    Dude, seriously? That's not remotely true. Fitzpatrick lines up damn near everywhere. You can find a post a few pages ago where I listed how he was lined up and what he did on the first dozen-ish plays of a game. Here's FootballOutsiders take on him. He is the most versatile player in the draft.
  9. 2018 Comprehensive NFL Draft Thread

    The way that tweet was phrased is ambiguous. It could mean, "I've also heard rumors some have reported about Redskins interest in Lamar Jackson, I'll be recording a podcast about those reported rumors soon". Which doesn't mean anything at all.
  10. 2018 Comprehensive NFL Draft Thread

    We weren't the only team competing to trade for him, we had to agree to terms for a long term deal as well. Enough people have reported Smith being adamant that the team he gets traded (and signs a LTD with) not draft a QB in the 1st in 2018...that I feel like it's true. The odd thing is the possible #1 but likely not worse than #2 QB is viewed by some as having only the 4th or 5th best talent. Darnold could be the 1st QB taken despite some teams having him as the 5th QB on their board, in part because he's the only guy without any issues. So if the FO/Scouts/etc view the other QB's as having more risk than normal, why wouldn't you tell the new QB you want inked into a deal that you wouldn't draft a QB in the 1st round? As far as what's reported. I believe Alex Smith's request was only for the 2018 draft. It doesn't pertain to never drafting a QB in the 1st while he's here. Speaking from a dollar stand point. Why would you ink Smith to a 23.5 million a year contract with 70+ million guaranteed...and then immediately try and undermine him by drafting a QB in the 1st? Poof, there goes a significant chunk of your cap.
  11. 2018 Comprehensive NFL Draft Thread

    What criteria is PFF using to restrict runs to these numbers? I'm looking at play by play data and these aren't right. Carolina had 23 runs of 15+ yards, not 11. Cam Newton had 11 alone. Was this just RB's? Is it only runs that got 1st downs? Looking at it more, I think it's only RB's. We had 13 total runs of 15+, but two of those were Kirk Cousins. The previously mentioned Carolina had 11 by Cam, and 1 by a WR, probably an end around. Power's fine, but we need a back with burst, or slipperyness, or something. Ronald Jones, Derrius Guice, and Nick Chubb are who we'd have to think about if they're on the clock at #43. I like Sony Michel, but I think his value is more towards the end of the second. Chubb doesn't have pure speed or great burst, but he has Alfred Morris-esque vision, he's surprisingly slippery and difficult to tackle in the open field, then he's got power. I swear he's also got an extra gear when he thinks he's got a lane to the end zone. But only then. It's surprising how often he isn't tackled from behind when he's got daylight in front of him. I'm guessing Chubb is who our team is hoping lasts to #43.
  12. 2018 Comprehensive NFL Draft Thread

    He pulled his hamstring halfway through the first run, he really shouldn't have any 40 time listed. He intends on running the 40 during his pro-day.
  13. 2018 Comprehensive NFL Draft Thread

    If we're talking "football player" like McCloughan has dreams about, then it's likely Minkah again. James has more length, but Minkah is the feisty one who will fight blockers. Neither are phenoms at sure tackling, but James probably has the edge there, he uses those long arms to wrap up well. Neither are (at least this last season) physical hard hitters. Minkah is more willing and aggressive to get into the fray and mix it up, Derwin sort of dances around the edges of the scrum and waits his turn. Minkah redirects to where plays are going quicker. From what I've read, I see no reason to say Minkah or James have anything but good intangibles. I've read that both are considered locker room leaders, avid film watchers, etc etc. I see nothing on film to indicate Minkah Fitzpatrick isn't practically the definition of a McCloughan "football player". I also see nothing on film to indicate Derwin James is clearly head and shoulders a better "football player" than Minkah.
  14. 2018 Comprehensive NFL Draft Thread

    You REALLY need to rewatch Minkah. If you're talking about hybrid safety, do-it-all defensive back in this draft, then you're talking about Minkah. If you want the most versatile DB in this draft, then you're talking about Minkah. Look at the first few plays from the National Championship game, look at where he's lined up. Play 1: Nickel Play 2: Off-ball linebacker Play 3: Nickel Play 4: I'd argue Edge. Press corner against Bunch, but from how the DL is lined up, he's got contain responsibilities and he immediately tries to get contain. Play 5: Off-ball linebacker, he's the only 1 in the defense lined up that way. It's a fake blitz and at the snap he has to cover ground to catch up to the slot (his responsibility). Play 6: Strong Safety Play 7: Nickel Play 8: Cover 2 Safety (indistinguishable between FS and SS) Play 9: Nickel/Off-Ball linebacker, kind of lined up between both spots Play 10: Off-Ball linebacker, lined up over the TE, but doesn't follow him in motion, so I'm guessing a zone pattern match if the TE released to his side? Play 11: Nickel. Lined up against middle WR in trips on one side. Play 12: Off-ball LB Play 13: Edge-ish. He's the guy there, but he starts moving towards the sideline (2 WR side with 1 uncovered) at the snap. The guy lines up everywhere and is asked to cover everyone including in-line TE's.
  15. 2018 Comprehensive NFL Draft Thread

    Top 3 ILB had some impressive combine measurements. Roquan Smith came in at a much needed 236 pounds, rest of his numbers are solid. Tremaine Edmunds came in as expected. What wasn't expected is that Leighton Vander Esch has almost similar numbers as Edmunds. Did not expect Leighton to weigh in at 256 pounds. This LB class is not normal.