Skinsinparadise

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Everything posted by Skinsinparadise

  1. FanRag: Brandon Scherff Cements Himself Among Elite Interior OL

    Chris Cooley probably more than any player seems to just drool over the dude in film review. If I recall he said something to the effect that he's the best player he's graded in his years of doing this. Makes me hungry for a bookend RG in the draft like Quenton Nelson. One more stud guard. One above average running back. Then, we got something similar potentially to the 2016 Dallas offense.
  2. Redskins vs Eagles Prediction Thread: Who Is For Real?

    I picked the Redskins to win but IMO the better match up is Dallas not Philly. Philly is built similar IMO to the 2016 Carolina and NY Giants D lines that give our offense fits (monster D line up the middle) by stuffing the run and making the team one dimensional. This offense tends to thrive off of balance. Kirk is the top play action QB in the league thus far. Dallas is ranked dead last against the run via football outsiders metrics, Philly is ranked 9th. I think the Philly game is winnable. Dallas to me though seems the better match up at least for our offense to do its thing. Having said that if the Redskins did win a big one in Philly it would fit a pattern we've had over the years to follow up a big win with a loss.
  3. Common Kirk....I just don't know....

    I agree that its easier to post bigger numbers in today's NFL, that's self evident. But the bust rate of rookie QBs still seems very high. If it were easy to find rookie QBs -- then guys like Glennon and Osweiller wouldn't be getting 16 million after showing at best a modicum of success. Considering how the QB market financially has skyrocketed of late -- if anything teams are looking more desperate (not less) than ever to secure QB competence. I mentioned recently I was reading an NFL insider article where it was mentioned an insider felt that the 49ers would much rather sign Kirk then go get a QB in the draft. And heck SF might actually have the #1 or #2 pick where at least the odds are much higher in landing a good one.
  4. Common Kirk....I just don't know....

    I get the logic behind the point but where it loses me is when I connect it to tangible results that bear it out in terms of QB success -- I don't see an uptick in QB success or if there is one its nominal. My point is in a nut shell is if you go fishing for QBs especially outside of the first round, the odds are much greater you come up with a Hackenberg type in the draft than you do a Cousins. And its not even close.
  5. Common Kirk....I just don't know....

    That study went up to 2015. Not that old. Basically you are talking about NFL teams running spread offenses, now. I think this was more on point in 2012 when it become a fad and primary offense for some teams. You got some teams who do it now but I don't see how this season its taking off in a big way compared to the past. As I've said previously if you got the top pick in the draft or the 2nd, you are likely (but not for sure) in good shape. Otherwise its a crap shoot. The stats bear that out. It bears out last year and this year, too. I'll play along as if 2010-2015 is old. Lets go as fresh and new as it gets: 2016 and 2017. In 2016, you go past the 1st and 2nd pick in the draft then you got thus far a bunch of Jags and the unicorn Dak Prescott. How are teams feeling about their Conner Cook, Hackenberg, Paxton Lynch, Brandon Allen, Cody Kessler, etc. This year we got Watson and that's it so far as for successes. The new guys are lighting up the league. The mid round successes like Kirk Cousins, Prescott, Wilsons are rare finds and not common regardless of what metric you use. Even Shanny said he didn't know that Kirk Cousins was going to be a find until he had him in house otherwise he'd have drafted him higher.
  6. Common Kirk....I just don't know....

    The whole go get another Kirk in the draft, what's the big deal?.... https://www.cbssports.com/nfl/news/agents-take-recent-draft-history-shows-first-round-qbs-are-more-likely-to-fail/ For every successful first-round quarterback pick in recent years, there are almost twice as many failures. A conclusion can be drawn with 19 of the first-round picks. Only seven, or 36.8 percent, arguably could be considered a success. http://www.steelcityunderground.com/2017/04/07/examining-success-mid-late-round-qbs-drafted-2010-2015/ Most conversations about quarterbacks drafted after the first two rounds usually end involving names like Russel Wilson and Dak Prescott, players taken in the third and fourth round of the draft. However, these players are the exception, not the rule. In order to really see how successful quarterbacks taken after the first two rounds have been, I compiled a table following each quarterback drafted between rounds three and seven from 2010-2015. ... 46 quarterbacks have been drafted in rounds 3-7 between 2010 and 2015. 5 of these quarterbacks are currently starting on an NFL team, equaling an 11% starting rate. ... The data shows that while it is possible to find a starting quarterback in the later rounds of the draft, it is extremely difficult. The narrative that mid-round starters can be found was complicated by the emergence of Dak Prescott this season, making everyone believe a “Dak Prescott” can be found in every draft class. This isn’t the case. Teams have repeatedly failed to develop mid-round quarterbacks and it’s a trend that will continue. While every couple of years a diamond in the rough can be found, these players are always the exception, not the rule.
  7. Do We Suddenly Have a Dominant Defense?

    I like Doc's mancave style humor at times. But where I am not a Doc guy is he doesn't seem to pay much attention to details around the team. I doubt he knows about the Lanier-Doug connection. Though reading the story about finding Lanier, I don't know if I associate it that much to Doug anyway. He was tipped off about Lanier from a friend (if I recall it might have been the coach?). Doug took the tip. Then Scot took the tip. Going through the story it wasn't as if he was a diamond in the rough that was found via raw scouting. It's more of a networking narrative. Though heck its good to have a network.
  8. Do We Suddenly Have a Dominant Defense?

    sure, my point wasn't that I doubt Lanier. It's just a movie I haven't seen, yet so I don't know. It's just funny to hear guys like Doc Walker fawn over Lanier for two years in a row but the dude doesn't even crack the lineup. So should be interesting. I gather listening to Jay the concern with Lanier is stopping the run.
  9. Do We Suddenly Have a Dominant Defense?

    We've been hearing hype about Lanier for 2 seasons now. Both seasons he struggled to crack the lineup. I guess we are about to see what we got in him. Young player with a chance now.
  10. Redskins vs Eagles Prediction Thread: Who Is For Real?

    Yeah Redskins I gather should have been flattered. Beating the Redskins I guess was the be all and end all to them considering their recent lack of success in the series. https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/dc-sports-bog/wp/2017/09/10/its-week-1-but-that-didnt-stop-the-eagles-from-celebrating-with-a-gatorade-bath/?utm_term=.39b8df707967 A few Eagles players celebrated their 30-17 win over the Redskins on Sunday as if they had just won the Super Bowl, which, as every Redskins, Giants and Cowboys fan could tell you, is something Philadelphia has never done. As the final seconds ticked off the clock at FedEx Field in Landover, Fox’s cameras showed Eagles Coach Doug Pederson receiving a Gatorade bath on the sideline.
  11. Redskins vs Eagles Prediction Thread: Who Is For Real?

    Ditto big time. Redskins worst game by a mile was game 1. It was the only game where Kirk seemed out of sorts. And Eagles fans in particular know that Kirk typically plays big against them. The call at the end of the game (forward pass ruled as a fumble) was so flagrant that even Redskins hater, Skip Bayless talked about it twice on different shows about how they were robbed. Plus the Redskins had 4 turnovers. The odds are pretty low that Kirk will have another off day, the team will cough up the ball 4 times (including once on a punt) and the referee will end the game on a dumb call that was a mile off. That was the perfect storm for the Eagles. I've watched 4 out of the 6 Eagles game. They are playing well. But I think some are getting carried away. I expect bravado from the fans/Philly media when they enjoy early success. Comes with the turf. It happens every time it seems like they get on a roll. I recall last season it was intense. H. Eskin even last year when the Eagles got off to a good start was saying the Redskins had no shot to beat the Eagles and the idea that any team in the NFC East would catch the Eagles was laughable. I recall the season before that Fletcher Cox guaranteeing a win before the Redskins played for the division in Philly late in the season. Having said that I don't blame the enthusiasm. It's fun to think your team is a juggernaut and why not ride with it until the rug is pulled under from you ala last season. To me the Redskins biggest challenge is dealing with the Eagles defense up the middle. It's stout. Tough to run against. They remind me some of the Giants defense last year. They shut down the run and make you one dimensional. My biggest fear is all the Redskins injuries. Eagles seem healthier. We got a banged up secondary. No Jonathan Allen, probably no Norman. We got a kicker who now has never kicked in the NFL who likely will have to make a clutch kick. With the exception of the opening game, we've had the Eagles number for awhile. It's Kirk's favorite opponent. I don't think much of the Eagles corners. I am gathering based on some of the comments here, Eagles fans haven't really watched the Redskins much. If they did, it wouldn't be a question about whether they are the same team from game 1 -- the answer would be as obvious to them as it is about their own team. They will find a grittier team especially on defense. Bayless also mocked the Eagles for dumping Gatorade on Pederson after the win against the Skins like they just won the Superbowl. But I get it, Eagles players said later that beating the Redskins was like getting the monkeys off their backs. It was a big big deal. Redskins have owned the Eagles really more than any team has owned anybody in the NFC East of late. Can the Eagles beat their nemesis the Redskins again? Anything is possible but I think it doesn't happen. Close game. Redskins 24 Eagles 20.
  12. Common Kirk....I just don't know....

    Chris Russell‏ @Russellmania621 6h6 hours ago Chris Russell Retweeted Pat Thorman But he can't beat good teams..Wrong. He can't lead GW drives..Wrong. But he always throws INT'S...Wrong. He has no arm strength..Wrong.#NFL Chris Russell added, Pat Thorman @Pat_Thorman Since Week 1, Kirk Cousins has the third highest completion percentage, and leads the NFL in yards per attempt and passer rating.
  13. Do We Suddenly Have a Dominant Defense?

    Ioannidis, Fuller and Preston Smith are looking like great picks on the defense. Also it shows the power of patience. People were psyched about Preston in year 1 then he became a forgotten man last season. Ioannidis blossoming in year 2, ditto Fuller. Going to offense at this given time, Scherff is looking to be the better player versus L. Williams. It didn't feel that way last season. Same patience I think warranted for Ryan Anderson, Perine, etc.
  14. Jay Gruden: Buy or Sell 2017 edition

    Yeah but what Sheehan said was he heard that there is a committee upstairs helping with the clock and end of the game clock situations. That's what surprised me. Not the challenges, part.
  15. Jay Gruden: Buy or Sell 2017 edition

    Yeah if people recall Bruce was in charge of challenges in Jay's first year from the booth and it was bad in terms of getting things right on that front. So yeah if its a committee upstairs led by Bruce on this, wow. Funny in a way. But like I said in a previous post: strong buy on Jay. He's the right coach for this team IMO. Many coaches have issues on clock management. I like everything else about him.
  16. Common Kirk....I just don't know....

    Thanks. But I have to admit, I don't really get the gist of the we can't build a team with paying a QB 25 million, etc. We have a competitive team right now paying the QB 25 million. The cap keeps rising, the last projection that I saw was 10 million rise for 2018. Plenty of money to sign Zach Brown. If this is the argument then it competes directly with how teams build their teams in today's NFL. Looks like most teams are willing to pay the piper when it comes to the QB. Very difficult to win in the league with a JAG at QB. We can go cheap and sign Ryan Fitzgerald or whatever JAG is out there at QB or hope to hit the lottery with a mid to late round first round QB -- trying to think whom would still be there at our pick, maybe Falk? That would likely be a reset and based on this team's history, could be a 10-20 year journey all over again.
  17. The Skins RB situation....

    Cooley doing his film review. He said Jordan Reed was so bad in his block assignments that he's waiting to talk to him personally before saying anything more on air. Yesterday, he was going on about how Vernon Davis and Jordan Reed are train wreck level bad as blockers with Reed being the bigger culprit. Saying he'd just keep Reed in the slot to avoid using him much as a blocker. He is still going on about Scherff being the best blocking guard in the NFL.
  18. Common Kirk....I just don't know....

    Cooley doing his film grades and gave Kirk an A minus. His quote was he's the rug that ties the room together. He said his receivers played poorly. No running game. That was my vibe, too. The offense on Sunday was just about all Kirk. I don't think that was Kirk's best performance by a long shot. But IMO he was good and gutsy. I know this was addressed to BFS but to weigh in. The thread which has the line "C'mon Kirk I just don't know... started off as a venting thread about Kirk's performance in the opener. The one who initiated the thread acceded it. It was driven by mostly negativity about Kirk and the people who said stay patient with Kirk were borderlined ridiculed. One bringing up that people backing Kirk seemed as out of touch and silly as those who backed RG3. One compared Kirk to John Beck. The Rams game by some was almost treated like a loss. I even joked when I weighed in that being positive about Kirk is dangerous here, since I am surrounded by the critics. I guess the thread has come a long way if you define it as one where people who wanted to criticize have to start clear because of too many homers. If so, that's a 180 from where the thread started. As for addressing whether Kirk is worth the money. Actually that is the underpinning of just about every point from the Kirk "homers". And not only are the "homers" not saying he's the best QB to ever to play the game but are actually going out of their way to say he's not. But he's good enough to win with and that's the bottom line. You got numerous national NFL observers who think its outright weird that the Redskins didn't lock in Kirk and they are in a precarious situation with the contract. The Kirk "homers" all have nuanced angles that aren't the same from person to person. But what they have in common is one thing: we all think its VERY weird that the Redskins FO haven't locked him in and that the team is in the weird spot of having to fight to lock in their franchise QB versus other NFL teams who never let themselves reach that road. We have an ESPN insider article even today talking about how the 49ers are waiting in the weeds for Kirk and rather go that route than start with a QB from this draft. It's frustrating to some of us to see other teams act almost territorial about the Redskins QB. And as for the debate here, its not that anyone here idolizes Kirk. It's that we see a team on the crossroads of being a really good team but oddly that whole rug could be pulled from under us and we have to start all over. And that isn't a been there done that type of thing -- what team doesn't experience a journey like that? The frustration is its endemic to just this situation with the Redskins.
  19. Common Kirk....I just don't know....

    Maybe that was one of Cooley's theories before the season. According to him, Garcon and D Jax are both Alpha big time and aren't led by the QB. Removing them from the equation would likely lead to Kirk feelings at greater ease to control the offense. And yeah it looks like he's doing so. I said before the off season, I wanted one of the two back. If I had to choose which one, I wanted D Jax. I noticed Scot said he wouldn't have let Garcon go. Having said that, once they let both go, I was ok with it because I presumed Pryor would emerge. At the moment, I think Doctson is potentially our best shot. He hasn't really gotten many reps, Jay acceded that yesterday and said he will get the ball more moving forward.
  20. Common Kirk....I just don't know....

    Yeah I am with that. You can see for example the defenders load the box and fill in the gaps tight and we got the running backs for example taking it up the middle anyway. I like Jay's commitment to the run but I echo the criticism about its at times too predictable when you are so top heavy with running plays on first down.
  21. Common Kirk....I just don't know....

    OK you said my post didn't provide any thoughts on areas of where Kirk could improve. (Even though it actually did, it highlighted three points where I'd like to see improvement). And not sure what you mean by me not providing it "once again"? Am I supposed to provide that as part of my discussion? In this case the big picture is do we want the FO to bring Kirk back and what would be the future of the franchise otherwise -- that leads to a very specific place to land. And its the underpinning of most of the discussion here. To that point, I land very hard on bringing him back. I have no disclaimers, zero reservations, not a whit of cognitive dissonance about it. That's not because I think Kirk is perfect. It's because to win in the league you need a QB who can make the team competitive. I got no doubt Kirk is that guy. It doesn't matter how much I hang on his imperfections to that end. It's irrelevant to me. If you want to have a nuanced debate about Kirk as a player and preface it as absolutely they should pay him in the off season. That's cool. If that's the point, I gave you three things I'd like to see him improve. To summarize them here again: 1. touch on the deep ball. 2 Red zone. 3. Hurrying throws too much when playing really good defensive fronts.
  22. Common Kirk....I just don't know....

    I dont mind you singling me out to respond. But to clarify, I am not the one bringing up RG3, etc. My take on Kirk overall. He is not a top 5 Qb. But hes somewhere in the top 10. I am more than satisfied with his play this year. I am increasingly nervous about this receiving corp. My nervousness about the receiving corp has zero to do with elevating Kirk. If Kirk is tapped out and this is his peak, I am more than Ok with that. But I agree with Jay that he contines to improve. As for Kirk improving. I would like to see more touch on the deep ball to let it hang longer. Trust your receivers on the deep ball. It seems like he is willing to overthrow the deep ball because thats the safer bet. Id like to see him take charge more and bring more moxie in the red zone. And that comment pertains to everyone on offense. I generally dont think much of Clinton Portis as a commentator. But I agreed with his comments last night that scoring in the red zone has an attitude component to it. Portis' comments were aimed at criticizing the backs but it feels to me that applies to everyone. I also think when he plays defensive fronts that manhandle the O line early in games, he starts seeing pressure before its there and then starts hurrying his throws too much. He is willing to take a hit and is brave in the pocket but IMO sometimes can see ghosts when he gets hit early. Having said that all Qbs have flaws. On the aggregate, I think we can win big time with this guy. We are competitive in every game. Thats a big deal to me.
  23. Common Kirk....I just don't know....

    For those interested listen to kirk's interview from 106.7 today, I think they are rerunning it at 1 pm. He was asked about 2 passes where it looked like he grossly misfired. One of them, Jordan Reed ran it as if the 49ers were running cover 2, which positioned him in a certain spot. Kirk said it was actually cover 1 so he threw it to the spot that Jordan was supposed to be at. Kirk said it nicely where he didnt throw Jordan under the bus. The other pass, Kirk threw it away from coverage. The dude like anyone else is going to make some errant passes. But its not hard to see that his receivers are a work in progess. Missing Garcon and D Jax IMO hurts for the moment because I gather Kirk misses having built in WR rapport. Brady talked about it recently as to craving stability at the WR position. It takes time to develop chemistry. Nonetheless, Kirk is making due.
  24. Common Kirk....I just don't know....

    I was at the game I saw it. Kirk scrambled to get everybody lined up and everyone did except Pryor. And it was easy to see that Kirk just went off at Pryor. I liked seeing Kirk lose his cool. That incident and the late drive in the game where Kirk took off and ran for 18 yards and lowered his shoulder into the defender - I especially loved. To me the 2017 version of Kirk is an improvement and i already liked the 2016 version a lot. Jay talked about Kirk growing as a player last week. This year, Kirk is grittier and balsier especially in late game drives. Jerry Brewer had a good column about it today.
  25. Jay Gruden: Buy or Sell 2017 edition

    I was listening to Sheehan this morning. Who knows if hes right but he said he heard Jay gets help from upstairs with end of the game clock management and among the helpers is Bruce. That was weird to hear. I know Bruce for awhile was helping with challenges but clock management?