Let's just say that I disagree w/you fundamentally on this. I don't view the draft geeks as particularly helpful about this. Nearly all of them are exclusively film guys and not numbers guys which is a huge problem made worse by the active antagonism towards numbers guys when it's been proven a gazillion times over that the #'s guys are much, much, much better at evaluating playmaking prospects (QB-RB-WR-TE). When it comes to the other positions it's a mix of tape, of data analysis as well. I tend to view Draft geeks skeptically, though not to the degree of others (I think Kiper is a perfectly reasonable analyst for instance, whereas I think most people's annoyance with his position, and it's relation to self-annoiting, and his personality result in others being dismissive of him), and tend to use their takes only to get a general idea of where prospects probably will go in tiered zone whenever there is consensus.
I think Cook's performance at the combine dropped him from a top 10-20 selection to a top 25-55 selection. I'll be surprised if he goes higher and definitely would attribute to the voice of individuals in the war room trumping information in the war room (the same way the Cowboys appear to have selected Dak Prescott against the interests of their top personel guys, instead overruling them due to the massive support Dak had from particular players, and former Cowboys who were screaming that Dak should be the pick-apparently Jerry listened, and overruled his son and the head of the scouting department, taking Dak over Driskell, and not pulling the trigger on QB's they had highly rated earlier (like Cook)). This happens, it could happen again with Cooks, though I'm skeptical.
Cook's pro day is largely irrelevant, especially considering he avoided the damning three cone, and because Pro Day's are simply not held in the same esteem as the combine because it's considered a non-neutral testing environment. Teams take the Pro Day much more seriously even to the extent of apparently typically adding .2-.5 seconds to recorded times in the 40 for instance as a default corrective.
You may think the combine is old news, but it emphatically isn't.
All this being said, like you, I'm a big fan of Cook, and view him as a very underrated RB, he's the #2 in my RB ranks, but because of the 3 cone, I would only consider drafting him in a trade down. I really, really, really wanted him to perform the 3 cone again to see if he had nerves, a bad day, sick, whatever, playing a factor. The performance in games, on tape, and in some metrics are so damn good, that I can't help but feel that something flat out interfered with him performing up to his ability. the fact that he didn't test in it again suggests to me that he and his agent both knew he couldn't improve it enough for it to matter so they left it off the pro day script and that is definitely not good.
I keep hearing that Fournette is a lock to go to the Jags and if not there, to the Panthers. We'll see. Sometimes we get surprises, sometimes we dont
McCaffrey's numbers are so damn good, whether you look at inside running in Barfield's metric (McCaffrey's inside running numbers were the best in the class, pretty shocking there, better than both Fournette and Cook-although McCaffrey had a much better OL than Cook so there's that), agility in the 3 cone, burst/explosiveness in the jump drills, his route running performance which was absurdly good, he's incredible and I think he has a chance to be an everydown back at the next level and should be considered along with Mixon, and Cook, as easily the best tier in the draft.
I have heard that despite rumors to the contrary, people should pay attention to the history of the Eagles F.O., and their head of scouting who echoes it, the Eagles haven't drafted a RB in round 1 since '86 (Byars, or was it '87?), and the semi-new guy in the war room imported from Baltimore played a key role in the decision making process in Baltimore which lead to nearly a half dozen Pro Bowl RB's being drafted between 2005-2014 or thereabouts, all selected outside of the top 2 rounds save for Ray Rice (round 2). That sportswriter was convinced the eagles would address other needs in round 1, before considering RB on day 2 or 3 considering the depth of the class. So that will be interesting to watch too, I imagine the Colts would be ecstatic to have McCaffrey fall in their laps if the Eagles passed. Maybe the Saints too? Who knows.
I think Cooks would be a perfect fit for Tampa, but I also would suspect they'd trade down if they wanted him that badly. We'll see. I think in time he will prove worthy of a top 15-20 selection, but I think the flags more than justify him falling out of round 1 (bad combine, bad shoulder/injury history, off field concerns, and fumbles-truly insane fumble rate especially in comparison to say Matt Jones-although Cooks is a gazillion miles the prospect, it's odd that there's so much love for Cook considering that he's 10x the fumbler Jones is).
A couple of years from now, pending landing spot I suspect the RB's will prove to be
Perine, Hunt, McNichols, Foreman, A. Jones, and maybe Kamara
I don't think there's a clear order from 5-11 or thereabouts, though there are hints that if McNichols can develop as a RB (recruited as a WR), he could end up vaulting into the top 4.